She did not win in 39,988 simulations (49. 985%). House of representatives. These ties are likely to eventually result in trump wins in the u. s. View the results of 2024 election polls. And check this page soon after the first polls close at 6pm est / 11pm. · narrow victories in a handful of swing states are likely to determine whether donald trump or kamala harris wins the us presidential election on november 5. Of those, 39,718 were outright wins for donald trump and the remainder (270 simulations) were exact 269-269 electoral college ties: This tracker uses the latest. · our polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race, using data from national and battleground state polls. · our prediction model runs the numbers to assess whether a slim lead will be enough to put ms harris in the white house. · out of 80,000 simulations, kamala harris won in 40,012 (50. 015%) cases. · an in-depth look at the polls and what they can and can’t tell us about who will win the election. · as polls open, vice president kamala harris is predicted to win the election by almost every major forecaster.